Tuesday, December 14, 2021

Covid-19: Headline Bigger Than The Story -- December 14, 2021

Note: I'm a huge advocate of dispensing Ivermectin over-the-counter, like aspirin.

During my training, I read hundreds (thousands?) of research articles like this. The statistics: simply not impressed. 

Another example.

Study:

  • Itajai, Brazil
  • population: 223,112
  • from July, 2020, to December, 2020
  • all citizens offered Ivermectin for free, as a prophylaxis
  • no study participant was positive for Covid-19 at start of taking Ivermectin
  • participants could chose to accept Ivermectin or reject
  • total study participants: 220,517
    • 99% of the city turned out for this offer to accept / reject Ivermection
    • first red flag
  • accepted / rejected
    • accepted Ivermectin: 133,051
    • rejected Ivermectin: 87,466
    • first observation: folks not particularly concerned about risk of Covid-19
  • infection rates:
    • treated subjects: 4,311 (3.2%) subsequently became infected
    • untreated subjects: 3,034 (3.5%) subsequently became infected
    • second observation: yawn
    • but investigators raved about the findings, noting a 7% reduction in infection rate for those who chose Ivermectin; as noted, yawn
  • hospitalization? statistics not presented
  • risk of dying
    • treated subjects: 62 deaths, 1.4% mortality rate
    • untreated subjects: 79 deaths, 2.6% mortality rate
    • third observation: yawn
  • investigators note this represents ... drum roll ... a 48% reduction in mortality rate
  • on the other hand:
    • 100% of patients with "strep throat" will be cured in a day or so when treated with penicillin.
  • And that's the problem with all these studies: two huge cohorts; in one cohort 62 deaths; in the other cohort, 79 deaths; doesn't get my motor running.

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