Monday, August 14, 2023

Fauci -- August 14, 2023

The more I read, the more respect I have for Dr Fauci.

We'll see if that "holds true" over time.

August 18, 2023: The Premonition: A Pandemic Story, Michael Lewis. Two things:

  • why Trump couldn't fire Fauci, p. 290.
  • why Sweden got it wrong; why "herd immunity" doesn't work
From the book, page 280:
"The CDC has let itself be used by the Trump administration to lead the United States in a direction opposite to the direction thhe United States had once led the world. ("It was our ability to refocus India from herd immunity to attacking the virus that allowed smallpox eradication to succeed.")

Why herd immunity did not work -- and why it will not work -- Covid-19. Why Sweden got it wrong.

From Johns Hopkins, September 13, 2021, link here.

"Rethinking herd immunity and the Covid-19 response end game." Gypsyamber D'Souza and David Dowdy.

It raises the question: is Covid-19 different than the "Pox-MMR" viruses that seem not to mutate, have multiple strains, unlike Covid-19 and seasonal flu which "mutate" / change frequently.

Were D'Souza and Dowdy remiss in suggesting any role that "herd immunity" can play. 

See Mayo Clinic here.

More and more I read suggests that public health officials have got to say that for Covid-19, "herd immunity" simply will not work as a public health policy for Covid-19.

Sure, if you want into a party with 99 other people, all of whom are immune, and you are the only that is not vaccinated, you won't get Covid-19 at that party. The problem is that you will go to another party and another party and another party. Worse, you will go home to your five-year-old unvaccinated child who has been in school all day.

However, and this is great news: folks are always looking for an excuse not to go to work. Now, anyone with the sniffles will stay home, and in a crazy way, the US population is breaking the chain of infection.

It will be interesting to see the graphs for 2023 - 2024 and then again, 2024 - 2025.

Sweden now gets vaccinated. Link here.

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