Safest
PDX–DFW is one of the safest routes in a 10% cancellation scenario.
It wasn’t listed in the original list because it falls into the "unlikely to be cut" category along with routes like:
PDX–SEA
PDX–SFO
PDX–DEN
PDX–PHX
PDX–LAX
Original List
Most likely to be cancelled first (High vulnerability — low frequency / seasonal / single-carrier)
PDX — Keflavík (KEF), Iceland — seasonal transatlantic or limited-season service; typically few weekly departures. (Seasonal / leisure). Portland Monthly
PDX — London (LHR) — long-haul transatlantic with limited weekly frequencies compared to domestic flows (1–7/wk historically). (Long-haul / low frequency). FlightConnections+1
PDX — Amsterdam (AMS) — long-haul, often limited weekly schedule. (Long-haul / low frequency). FlightConnections
PDX — Cancún (CUN) — seasonal leisure route (typically concentrated in high-travel months). Portland Monthly
PDX — Guadalajara (GDL) / other Mexico leisure cities — often fewer frequencies than major domestic routes; sometimes seasonal. FlightsFrom
PDX — Bozeman (BZN) — small non-hub mountain/leisure city, limited daily flights (often 1–2/day). FlightConnections
PDX — Missoula (MSO) — small city non-hub, typically low frequency (1–2/day or less). FlightConnections
PDX — Kalispell / Glacier (FCA) — seasonal/leisure, low frequency. FlightConnections
PDX — Provo (PVU) — Allegiant style service (inherently lower-frequency/low-cost leisure). FlightConnections
PDX — Idaho Falls / Jackson-area — small regional leisure markets, low frequency. FlightConnections
Medium vulnerability (one carrier or limited daily frequency but not strictly seasonal)
PDX — Guadalajara (GDL) (if served at reduced frequency) — (Mexico business/leisure mix). FlightsFrom
PDX — New York (EWR / JFK) when served by only one carrier on certain city-pairs (some flights can be 1–2/day depending on season). FlightsFrom
PDX — Minneapolis (MSP) (some frequencies by multiple carriers but spare flights are less essential than core West Coast trunk routes). FlightsFrom
PDX — Nashville (BNA) — usually fewer daily flights than big hubs (single-carrier patterns). FlightConnections
PDX — Some Florida cities (e.g., Fort Lauderdale, Tampa) — often medium vulnerability depending on season. FlightConnections
Lower vulnerability (unlikely to be cut early — high frequency / hub links)
PDX — Seattle (SEA) — very high frequency (largest route from PDX; huge weekly departures). Airlines will preserve this. FlightsFrom
PDX — San Francisco (SFO) / San Jose (SJC) / LAX — high-frequency West Coast trunk routes; lower chance of cancellation in a 10% cut. FlightConnections
PDX — Phoenix (PHX) / Denver (DEN) — hub connectors with multiple daily frequencies; less vulnerable. FlightConnections
PDX — Las Vegas (LAS) — multiple carriers and many daily flights; lower vulnerability. FlightConnections
PDX — Honolulu / Kahului / Kona (HNL/OGG/KOA) — Hawaiian routes are important leisure routes but often multi-daily; vulnerability depends on season & carrier. FlightConnections
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